Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 71.8%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 57 minuti fa
In ritardo14 ott 26, 08:30 UTC29 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Description / Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on whether SpaceX's Super Heavy booster experiences a destructive explosion during Starship Flight 15, the 15th integrated Starship flight test.
- YES if the Super Heavy booster visibly undergoes a destructive explosion during the flight, descent, or recovery attempt associated with Flight 15.
- The explosion must be confirmed by SpaceX or clearly established by official mission footage.
- NO if the booster completes its flight and recovery sequence without a destructive explosion, including cases where it is successfully caught by the launch tower, lands or splashes down without exploding, or is lost or damaged without a qualifying explosion.
- A controlled engine shutdown, an engine plume, a fire without a destructive explosion, or a hard landing alone does not count as an explosion.
