Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 98.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto1 mar 25, 09:10 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsStarship to Mars Multi-choice Matrix
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35
KalshiSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurRegole
SpaceX has announced plans to launch five uncrewed Starships to Mars during the 2026 Earth-Mars transfer window.
- This window represents the optimal time for launches between Earth and Mars when the planets are properly aligned, requiring less fuel and time for the journey.
- Elon Musk has publicly stated this goal as part of SpaceX's broader Mars colonization program.
- The Starship is SpaceX's next-generation fully reusable spacecraft designed for missions to the Moon, Mars, and beyond.
- It consists of the Starship spacecraft (upper stage) and the Super Heavy booster (first stage).
- Resolution Criteria
Mercati aperti
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 altri esiti
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026??
- Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: SpaceX has announced plans to launch five uncrewed Starships to Mars during the 2026 Earth-Mars transfer window.