Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 22 ott 2026, 03:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeOther 15%In testa tra 28 esiti
Previsori
94
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-1.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto18 gen 26, 04:47 UTC31 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Lucas Beyer (AI Researcher) work at either Anthropic or xAI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
KalshiWill OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?
KalshiWhich months will Google OR OpenAI OR Anthropic release a new LLM
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market matches Sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI revenues from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See the other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the best estimate of the sum of December 2026 annualized revenues (monthly revenue × 12) of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI.
- The resolver will primarily rely on publicly reported figures from reliable news sources (e.g., The New York Times, Reuters, The Information, Bloomberg), official company statements, or direct announcements from company CEOs.
- If the most recent reports are from earlier in 2026, the resolver may extrapolate or use projections to estimate December revenue.