Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeHas a microphone 99%In testa tra 23 esiti
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40
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto22 mag 25, 15:54 UTC31 dic 26, 16:49 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
KalshiWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsWill a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.
Manifold MarketsWhat is true of OpenAI's "spud" model?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
OpenAI acquired Jony Ive's io to build some kind of AI device.
- What will be true of the first device they release? This refers to whatever the first hardware product OpenAI + io release.
- If they release multiple devices simultaneously, each answer resolves YES if the answer is true of any of the devices.
- Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the 'Designed to be worn on head' answer:
- Earbuds will be considered as 'worn on head'.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market close date will be extended until the device is released or confirmed as cancelled.