KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 93%
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
5,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
6.0% / 14.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
30 mag 25, 14:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device?
Manifold MarketsWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If the first hardware device announced by the OpenAI/Jony Ive collaboration before Jan 1, 2027 has a screen, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 63,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 63,6K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4K €
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen??
- Kalshi quota No al 93% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen??
- Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the first hardware device announced by the OpenAI/Jony Ive collaboration before Jan 1, 2027 has a screen, then the market resolves to Yes.