Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
New Armstrong 79%In testa tra 8 esiti
New Armstrong 79%Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto4 gen 25, 08:29 UTC31 dic 35, 15:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
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Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
I will not bet.
- "The third rocket" should not be subjective, but rather the next main rocket in the Blue Origin lineage.
- We can only assume it will be similarly named.
- Update 2025-11-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Lunar Lander names do not count as Blue Origin rockets for the purposes of this market.