Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Remains without any contender organization 78.9%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
46
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto25 giu 24, 11:16 UTC1 gen 40, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketWhat will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If there are other feasible trajectories feel free to add them.
- If there are duplicates or some other non logical offered options, i reserve the right to remove them or to resolve them to NA
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 55,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8K €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per United nations - will it stand by 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota Remains without any contender organization al 79% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve United nations - will it stand by 2040??
- United nations - will it stand by 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2040.
- Come viene liquidato United nations - will it stand by 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If there are other feasible trajectories feel free to add them.