Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
EconomiaOne-OffMacro & Economy3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 90.8%
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Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto30 mag 25, 20:04 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiUnemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2030.
- Source: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (IPUMS)
- https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment
- Context: The highest data-point so far was 13.4% in May 2020 at the beginning of COVID.
- 2035 market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/unemployment-rate-for-recent-us-col-zQPLNstLPp
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
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+2 altri esiti
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KALSHICPI in August
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- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
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KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
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KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
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- Volume 24h
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030??
- Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2030.