Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 71%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto15 feb 26, 23:23 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2034
KalshiWill US college enrollment rates increase from 2021 to 2026?
Manifold MarketsMexico unemployment rate in August
KalshiWhich EU country will have the highest unemployment rate?
Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2035.
- Source: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (IPUMS)
- https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment
- The highest data-point so far was 13.4% in May 2020 at the beginning of COVID.
- 2030 market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/unemployment-rate-for-recent-us-col
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,8K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 548,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 29,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,7K €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 17,7K €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volume totale
- 310,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035??
- Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2034.
- Come viene liquidato Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2035.