KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna attività di trading
Dati al 9 set 2026, 06:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Above 3.0% 0%In testa tra 15 esiti
Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
10.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
3 set 26, 01:00 UTC5 gen 35, 13:29 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2027
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in September 2026?
ForecastExUS unemployment rate at year-end 2028
KalshiRegole
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2034 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- “Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released.
- It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31.
- The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2034.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
- Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,8K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 548,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 29,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,7K €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 17,7K €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volume totale
- 310,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US unemployment rate at year-end 2034?
- Kalshi quota Above 3.0% al 0% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve US unemployment rate at year-end 2034?
- US unemployment rate at year-end 2034 dovrebbe risolversi il 5 gennaio 2035.
- Come viene liquidato US unemployment rate at year-end 2034?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2034 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.