Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale≥$1T 100%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto22 apr 26, 03:49 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercati aperti
Regulation
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt46%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt37%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+3.0pt34%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 99,5K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No80.2%
- Yes19.8%
- Volume totale
- 13,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 80,7K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202792%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 16,6K €
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+27.3pt70.6%
- 11–14B-8.8pt10.8%
- 8–11B-3.3pt4.9%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-3.0pt37.6%
- Before Sep 1, 202724.8%
- Before April 1, 202723.1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 264,4K €
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Oklahoma vs Michigan
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Ohio State vs Texas
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota ≥$1T al 100% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.