Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale≥$2T 100%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
21 mag 26, 19:10 UTC1 ott 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2027
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
