Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale≥$1T 100%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto22 apr 26, 03:49 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
SpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsOpenAI highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-12-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercati aperti
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-3.0pt80.2%
- Yes+3.0pt19.8%
- Volume totale
- 13 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 419,3K €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt43%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-3.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt31%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 16,5K €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt65%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202750%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 894,3K €
KALSHIWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Paramount+1.0pt77.1%
- None before July 2027+2.0pt20%
- Netflix2.9%
- Volume totale
- 3,7 Mln €
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?
- Ohio State vs Texas
- When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota ≥$1T al 100% al 11 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026?
- SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-12-31.