SOAI#4: A deepfake/agent-driven cyber attack triggers the first NATO/UN emergency debate on AI security
GeopoliticaOne-OffEuropaIA
Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (94.7%)
Risolto: 11 ott 2026, 21:45
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 12 ott 2026, 12:02 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes5.3%
No94.7%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a cyber attack against self driving vehicles intentionally kill 100+ people in a day before end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsEU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?
PolymarketEU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
PolymarketEU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #4: A deepfake/agent-driven cyber attack triggers the first NATO/UN emergency debate on AI security.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.