Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 78.5%
Previsori
41
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto15 ott 25, 22:20 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OpenAI reaches 250GW compute capacity by EOY 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)
Manifold MarketsMore valuable company in 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be the lowest range Palantir stock price will reach in the next 2 years?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
See analysis by Epoch AI:
- https://epochai.substack.com/p/openai-is-projecting-unprecedented
- I plan to use that article to handle ambiguities and corner cases (mergers and acquisitions, inflation).
- If there's any doubt about this resolving YES or NO on a technicality, ask the clarifying question before trading.
- The spirit of the question is about whether AI is a bubble.
- Again, any way that you can foresee that the spirit and letter of this market may differ, ask.
