Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale0 72.9%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto7 dic 25, 05:48 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Manifold MarketsWill any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Manifold MarketsLong shot bets: How many of these 10 markets will resolve as expected?
Manifold MarketsWhat markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegole
This is an attempt to make an overall risk index; it will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets:
- @/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-formally-leave-the-OAASCz9ztA
- @/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta-dPUQqQCtQL
- @/EvanDaniel/will-there-be-a-newly-major-war-inv-2LO0IgPqzz
- @/IsaacKing/will-any-nuclear-weapon-be-detonate-602fc87e774f
- @/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-that-is-not-curren-pNszzP2O6E