[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Business e aziendeMacro ed economia1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale[AAA] At least 1 market resolves to YES. 100%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
34
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto16 nov 23, 00:06 UTC18 set 28, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Long shot bets: How many of these 10 markets will resolve as expected?
Manifold MarketsManifold Credit Default swaps 2030
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Manifold MarketsWill any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
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PolymarketWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiRegole
A Credit Default Swap is a financial derivative that allows investors to hedge or speculate on the credit risk of a particular entity.
- Essentially, a CDS is an insurance policy against the default of a borrower.
- In the context of prediction markets like Manifold, we can draw a parallel by considering the likelihood of certain events (or 'defaults') occurring.
- In this case, this market would assess the likelihood of various other markets resolving to a 'Yes' outcome.
- This approach mirrors the CDS concept, as participants are essentially speculating on the 'default' (or outcome) of these other markets.
- Here are the ten open yes/no markets with the most traders.