Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeMarch 31, 2027 66.2%+16.2ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+16.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
21 set 26, 08:32 UTC14 apr 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
LimitlessWill the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
PolymarketWill the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsRegole
These markets will resolve identically to these ones, on Polymarket: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by the named outcome?
- On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: 404 - Page not foundplayShow navigation menuplaysearchsearchblinking-dotfacebooktwitteryoutubeinstagram-colored-outlinerssblueskytiktok-colored-outline
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
- Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 483,5K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.5pt63%
- October 31+3.0pt39%
- September 30+1.0pt10%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+2.2pt98%
- September 25+9.3pt97%
- September 23+11.5pt86%
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volume totale
- 58,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 163K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 316%
- September 30-0.4pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets quota March 31, 2027 al 66% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket]?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket] dovrebbe risolversi il 14 aprile 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: These markets will resolve identically to these ones, on Polymarket: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by the named outcome?