![[Metaculus] Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FXwcxGqRIaB.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D87b72166-11c5-4d56-b956-8533b9059c8d&w=128&q=80)
Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 94.6%
Sì 94.6%Previsori
13
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto15 ott 23, 17:13 UTC2 gen 29, 18:00 UTC
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Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
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ForecastExRegole
Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if, before 2029, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reports that the day 10 forecast for 500 hPa height has reached an anomaly correlation coefficient of 60% or greater for either the Northern Hemisphere or Southern Hemisphere, using the 12-month running mean.
- This market is managed by a bot.
- Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run.
