Probabilità implicita attuale
No 52.5%-2.0pt
Qualità del mercato
31 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
24,7 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
21.0% / 74.0%
Spread
53.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
19 ago 26, 16:44 UTC1 lug 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves to "Yes" if Climate Central's U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters report for calendar year 2026 counts more than 28 separate billion-dollar weather and climate disaster events.
- The standing record is 28 events, set in 2023.
- A count of 28 or fewer resolves this market to "No".
- The controlling figure is the number of billion-dollar events attributed to calendar year 2026 in Climate Central's report (https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-services/billion-dollar-disasters), using Climate Central's standard cost-estimation and inflation-adjustment methodology; Climate Central now stewards this NOAA/NCEI dataset under the same methodology and original lead scientist.
- Whether an event qualifies, and how events are delineated and counted, follow Climate Central's published enumeration.
- Preliminary or year-to-date counts released during 2026 do not determine resolution; only the count attributed to the full 2026 calendar year controls.