Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAny WIMPs or Axions not listed in other answers 27.1%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto17 feb 25, 01:55 UTC2 gen 45, 01:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Which theory will have the strongest experimental support for explaining dark matter by January 1, 2045?
- Resolution based on consensus among peer-reviewed publications in major physics journals and statements from leading research institutions like CERN.
- If multiple answers are correct, then the most specific one will be marked as correct.
- Current theories: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_matter
- CERN research: https://home.cern/science/physics/dark-matter
Mercati aperti
Science
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 211K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 104,9K €
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- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
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- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045?
- Manifold Markets quota Any WIMPs or Axions not listed in other answers al 27% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045?
- Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045 dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2045.
- Come viene liquidato Leading dark matter explanation by January 2045?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Which theory will have the strongest experimental support for explaining dark matter by January 1, 2045?