Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 04:28 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 54.6%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto27 feb 25, 19:48 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the next world-wide crisis be?
Manifold MarketsWhich Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
Manifold MarketsAny of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Manifold MarketsMearsheimer prediction: Will Russia attack European countries that are not Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill Humanity Obstruct the Sun before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
I have hypothesis russia is up to no good in Siberia and arctic, allowing methane leaks to accelrating the climate change and warming to melt ice caps and access land and the resources, adding warm water ports.
- Help me define it better, it is the working theory.
- Like pipeline leak back in 2020 or whatever, what are they getting up to there? Incompetence or maybe the accelerationists.
- Double points of the Elon is involved.
- Evidence comes out by 2030, market is resolving to the yes, if none, no.
