Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
PoliticaOne-OffEuropaPolitica USARussia / UcrainaGeopoliticaMeteoMaterie prime3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeTuva 45.2%In testa tra 13 esiti
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto17 ott 25, 10:23 UTC30 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- An option resolves to YES if, for that region, all three of the following occur on or before 31 December 2039:
- A formal independence referendum is held.
- Defined as a formal vote organized in-person or online by a recognized local authority, an established exile government, or a clearly significant grassroots movement.
- The referendum must pose the explicit question of secession and full sovereignty from the Russian Federation.
- A majority of valid votes cast must be “Yes.”