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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

YearlyPoliticaGeopoliticaEurope6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 4%
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

197,5 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

3.0% / 4.0%

Spread

33.3%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 minuti fa

6 gen 26, 22:001 gen 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes4%

PolymarketDisponibile anche su Polymarket

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

6m
Sì
Sì
5%
No
No
95%
71 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale21,7K €
Volume 24h2 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regole

If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A referendum to join another country will also be considered as an independence referendum for this purpose.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

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Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?

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Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

0 €
Italy: 5%KalshiKALSHI
EU has a new member before 2030?

EU has a new member before 2030?

0 €
Sì: 74%KalshiKALSHI
Metaculus

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0 €
Sì: 4%MetaculusMETACULUS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,689.27+2.30%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.64%EthereumETH$1,651.80+1.64%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.72%HyperliquidHYPE$55.24-0.22%XRPXRP$1.12+0.36%

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Regole

If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A referendum to join another country will also be considered as an independence referendum for this purpose.