KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 95%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
20,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.0% / 4.9%
Spread
1.9 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
6 gen 26, 22:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
PolymarketKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
PolymarketWill Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
KalshiWill Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAlberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItRegole
If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A referendum to join another country will also be considered as an independence referendum for this purpose.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Riferimento CoinRithm è del 5%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 1 punto percentuale tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm 5% · 2 piattaforme · 1 pt di scarto tra venue
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 114,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 185,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 altri esiti
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 95% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026??
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Greenland has held an independence referendum after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 whose outcome is a majority of voters vote for independence, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.