In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated?
ScienzaTecnologia4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNot demonstrated by 31 Dec 2035 31.6%In testa tra 5 esiti
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12
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto7 gen 26, 14:44 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
📌 Description :
- This market resolves based on the first public demonstration of a quantum computer achieving ≥1,000 logical qubits.
- A valid demonstration must include:
- • Explicit identification of logical qubits (error-corrected, not physical qubits),
- • Evidence of fault-tolerant operation (e.g. sustained error correction),
- • Public disclosure via peer-reviewed paper, preprint, or official announcement by a recognized organization (company, research lab, or government agency).
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated??
- Manifold Markets quota Not demonstrated by 31 Dec 2035 al 32% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated??
- In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: 📌 Description :