In which month(s) will there be at least 3 consecutive days with sirens in Israel caused by Iranian missiles?
GeopoliticaOne-OffMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAugust 2026 37.2%In testa tra 17 esiti
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3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
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Aggiornato 56 minuti fa
In ritardo1 ago 26, 18:37 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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FutuurRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES for any month in which there are at least three consecutive calendar days (using Israel Standard Time, IST) where air raid sirens or red alerts are triggered in any part of Israel by missiles or drones launched directly from Iranian territory.
- Otherwise, those months will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market:
- "Sirens" refers to official alerts (Tzeva Adom / Red Alert) or air raid sirens issued by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) Home Front Command (Pikud HaOref).
- "Caused by Iranian missiles" requires that the projectiles (ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, or explosive UAVs/drones) were launched directly from Iranian soil.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In which month(s) will there be at least 3 consecutive days with sirens in Israel caused by Iranian missiles??
- Manifold Markets quota August 2026 al 37% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In which month(s) will there be at least 3 consecutive days with sirens in Israel caused by Iranian missiles??
- In which month(s) will there be at least 3 consecutive days with sirens in Israel caused by Iranian missiles? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato In which month(s) will there be at least 3 consecutive days with sirens in Israel caused by Iranian missiles??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria