In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
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Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
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Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto28 ago 24, 09:22 UTC4 gen 28, 22:59 UTC
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In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketRegole
EG "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover".
- It should be more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film script, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as it's good enough for a director to use without modifications to make a movie.
- Video generation question:
- @/SamuelKnoche/in-early-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-lezeyhikb7
- The intention of this question is to tease out what difficulties people expect for this question to resolve Yes:
- @/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt??
- In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: EG "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover".