If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEuropeManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 51.2%
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37
Tipo di domanda
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto8 mar 22, 09:56 UTC31 dic 52, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
Currently the Peace deal Russia is offering is as follows - Ukraine recognises Crimea as Russian territory - Ukraine recognises the independence of the breakaway republics of Donetsk and Luhansk - Ukraine does not join the EU or NATO - Ukraine changes its constitiution to enshrine neutrality.
- This question resolves N/A if the war in Ukraine ends or reaches longterm ceasefire, but under different conditions than outlined above.
- Or if the year ends without ceasefire
- This question resolves "NO" If - Ukraine complies to these terms - Russia at any moment agrees that they have complied to these terms - Ukraine has not broken these terms - Russia violates the treaty anyway within 30 years of signing.
- If Ukraine breaks the treaty or 30 years pass without incident, this question will resolve "Yes".
- Mar 8, 11:10am: Use loans if you want to invest into in this market
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 51% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years??
- If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2052.
- Come viene liquidato If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Currently the Peace deal Russia is offering is as follows - Ukraine recognises Crimea as Russian territory - Ukraine recognises the independence of the breakaway republics of Donetsk and Luhansk - Ukraine does not join the EU or NATO - Ukraine changes its constitiution to enshrine neutrality.