Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 8 or fewer (99%)
Risolto: 30 set 2026, 15:49
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 30 set 2026, 23:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
8 or fewer99%
90.2%
100.1%
110.1%
120.1%
130.1%
140.4%
15 or more0.4%
Vinta
Persa
Persa
Persa
Persa
Persa
Persa
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many successful SpaceX launches in October 2026 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for September 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.