Il veicolo di lancio Starship Superheavy di SpaceX raggiungerà 500 lanci riusciti totali entro il 1° gennaio 2030?
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Dati al 26 ott 2026, 05:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
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Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto25 apr 23, 03:04 UTC31 dic 29, 14:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?
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PolymarketRegole
I'm considering the first IFT "Not Successful", in that it didn't insert Starship into a near-orbital trajectory.
- Even though personally I think it was a successful data gathering flight.
- The guiding principle for success is something like "Did this flight prove to customers their payload will go where they want it to go?".
- Essentially, will SpaceX make 500 launches that a customer would consider proves satisfactory reliability and safety of the system by Jan 1st 2030.
- Clarified criteria:
- A "successful launch" means any launch in which: