Will SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027?
TecnologiaOne-OffSpace1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 71.5%
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Aggiornato 32 minuti fa
21 giu 26, 02:49 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many orbital launches will there be in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX be the customer for more than half of orbital payload mass in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
KalshiHow many SpaceX launches in September 2026?
PolymarketRegole
In 2022, there were 178 successful orbital launches; SpaceX's Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets accounted for 61 of them, or 34% of successful launches.
- In 2023, Falcon rockets accounted for 96 out of 211, or 45%.
- In 2024, it was 133 out of 255:@/EvanDaniel/will-spacex-conduct-at-least-half-o
- In 2025, it was 165 out of 317.
- In 2026 so far, it is 72 out of 140.
- Will SpaceX be responsible for over half of successful orbital launches in 2027?
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 72% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027??
- Will SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: In 2022, there were 178 successful orbital launches; SpaceX's Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets accounted for 61 of them, or 34% of successful launches.