How common will Jury Nullification be in the following years, according to a funded collaborative review?
One-OffCriminalità e giustizia3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2027 26.4%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
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Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto1 mag 24, 04:16 UTC2 mar 30, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
For each of the following years, I commit to spending at least $100 to fund a collaborative review by debaters and credible judges (with specific rules/mechanism tbd - open to suggestions) to give an estimate of the proportion of US criminal trials which ended in jury nullification that year.
- This market resolves to the proportion determined by the review.