France defaults on debt by 2027?
EconomiaOne-OffObbligazioni e titoli di StatoCinaEuropaMacro ed economia2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.7%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo2 ott 25, 10:28 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, on or before 23:59:59 on December 31, 2027 (Paris time), any of the following occurs for the sovereign “French Republic”:
- The ISDA Credit Derivatives Determinations Committee publicly rules a sovereign Credit Event (Failure to Pay, Repudiation/Moratorium, or Restructuring).
- Source: ISDA DC portal and ISDA sovereign credit‑event definitions. [cdsdeterminationscommittees.org], [isda.org] (isda.org)
- S&P Global Ratings assigns France an issuer credit rating of SD (Selective Default) or D. Definitions: S&P/Taiwan Ratings. [taiwanratings.com] (taiwanratings.com)
- Fitch Ratings assigns France an Issuer Default Rating of RD (Restricted Default) or D. Definitions: Fitch Ratings. [your.fitchratings.com] (your.fitchratings.com)