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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. US defaults before 2027?
US defaults before 2027?

US defaults before 2027?

One-OffBonds & TreasuriesUS PoliticsMacro & Economy6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 5%
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

5,8 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

0.4% / 3.8%

Spread

850.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

12 mar 26, 14:001 gen 27, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes5%

PolymarketDisponibile anche su Polymarket

US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

0.1%Chiusi
Sì
Sì
3%
No
No
97%
44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità media
Volume totale13,6K €
Volume 24h4,5 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regole

Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

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30 year interest rates greater than 7.5% by EOY 2028

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US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

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When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)

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US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

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1,1 €
Sì: 22%KalshiKALSHI
Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?

Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?

0 €
Sì: 9%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,567.39-2.77%EthereumETH$1,696.02-2.80%SolanaSOL$68.61-4.52%DogecoinDOGE$0.0825-3.01%XRPXRP$1.13-4.40%BNBBNB$573.30-3.09%

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Regole

Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi