PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
3.0%+ 59%-7.5ptIn testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
462,7 €
Liquidità
6,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
0.4 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-17.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
10 giu 26, 20:43 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketBank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm).
- The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
- The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date.
- The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026.
Mercati aperti
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 35 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026?
- Polymarket quota 3.0%+ al 59% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026?
- Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.