PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale2.8-3.0% 23%-0.4%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,6 €
Liquidità
6,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
23.1% / 23.4%
Spread
1.3%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
-0.4%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 minuti fa
10 giu 26, 20:4331 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
2.8-3.0%23%
Trend del volume
$210 lug12g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
0 €Exactly 1.50%: 0%
KALSHI
KALSHI
US Treasury 1-month yield on July 31?
0 €3.69 to 3.71: 30%FUTUUR
FUTUURUS Treasury 10-year yield on July 31?
0 €4.55 or more: 51%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
80 €4.0%: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
7,4 €4.5%: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
0 €Sì: 11%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm).
- The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
- The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date.
- The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026.