Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict?
GeopoliticaOne-OffMiddle East6mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81.7%
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16
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto16 mar 26, 15:16 UTC16 mar 27, 15:16 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of the following things will happen in the 2026 USA/Israel vs. Iran conflict by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill Russia and/or China get involved with the US/Israel and Iran situation before May begins
Manifold MarketsWill any new country trigger the process to become a CSTO member in 2026?
FutuurWill North and South Korea engage in direct talks by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This question is about global politics and international security.
- A war between Israel and Iran could involve other countries and alliances, which might turn a regional conflict into a wider global conflict.
- Experts worry that countries like the United States or other major powers could become involved, increasing the risk of a larger war
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 55,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict??
- Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict? dovrebbe risolversi il 16 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Could a direct war between Israel and Iran trigger a global conflict??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This question is about global politics and international security.