Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?
PoliticaOne-OffIAElezioneGeopoliticaMedio Oriente3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 54.7%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto6 giu 26, 21:46 UTC31 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES when the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 is enacted into law and the enacted text establishes, authorizes, or directs U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation that explicitly covers artificial intelligence, machine learning, or autonomous systems.
- This market resolves NO on February 1st, 2027 if the resolution condition for YES is not met.
- Market Background:
- The NDAA is the annual U.S. defense policy bill.
- It sets defense policy, authorizes defense programs, and tells the Department of Defense what it is allowed or required to do.
- The NDAA is treated as a must-pass annual defense bill, lawmakers often attach foreign-policy, and military-cooperation provisions to it.