Questo mercato si è risolto: right-authoritarian (21%)
Risolto: 12 ago 2026, 19:39
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attualeright-libertarian 30.5%-30.5ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-30.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 giorni fa
Obsoleto13 lug 26, 22:3312 ago 26, 19:39
Trend
30.5%
24.3%
24.3%
21%
Regole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political quadrant direction that Anthropic's Claude 5 Opus (also referred to as "Opus 5" or the equivalent 5-series flagship Opus model) is classified under on the standard 2D Political Compass, AS COMPARED TO THE CLASSIFICATION OF Claude 5 Sonnet.
- This market will not consider Fable / Mythos tier models.
- Primary Source: The market will resolve according to the relative values of the coordinates displayed on the TrackingAI Political Compass tracker.
- Quadrant Mapping:
- left-libertarian: Economic score < 0, Social score < 0 (bottom-left quadrant).
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 158,8K €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 168,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 155,2K €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,9 Mln €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Claude Sonnet 5 -> Opus 5 political shift?
- Manifold Markets quota right-libertarian al 31% al 13 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Claude Sonnet 5 -> Opus 5 political shift?
- Claude Sonnet 5 -> Opus 5 political shift dovrebbe risolversi il 12 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Claude Sonnet 5 -> Opus 5 political shift?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria