By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump?
US PoliticsOne-OffSportCrime & JusticeGolf1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 60.9%
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5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto13 set 26, 11:12 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is another confirmed, deliberate assassination attempt on Donald Trump occurring between September 13, 2026, and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time.
- To qualify for a YES resolution, an event must meet the following criteria:
- Target and Intent: The act must be a physical, deliberate attempt to take the life of Donald Trump.
- Lethal Means: The attempt must involve a weapon or method capable of causing death (e.g., firearms, explosives, poisoning, or direct physical assault).
- Official Characterization: The incident must be officially characterized as an "assassination attempt" or "attempted assassination" by a major U.S. federal or state law enforcement agency (such as the FBI, U.S. Secret Service, or Department of Justice), or result in federal charges explicitly for the attempted assassination of Donald Trump (e.g., under 18 U.S. Code § 1751).
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 61% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump??
- By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato By 2028 will there be another assassination attempt on Donald Trump??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria