will trump be assasinated in US?
CommoditiesOne-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezioneMiddle EastSportCrime & JusticeGolf3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97.4%
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto7 mar 26, 01:13 UTC31 dic 26, 01:12 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
will trump be assasinated in 2026
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump is assassinated (killed by an intentional act of violence) at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on confirmation from major news outlets and official sources.
- The market resolves NO if Trump survives the entire year 2026 without being assassinated.
- Trump survived assassination attempts in Butler, Pennsylvania in July 2024 and West Palm Beach, Florida two months later, with the second attacker sentenced to life in prison.
- A deadly confrontation at Mar-a-Lago in February 2026 represents the latest in a string of high-profile security incidents, with former Secret Service officials noting Trump is "the most threatened president in the history of the U.S." Recent attacks have been characterized as "super low-tech," with lone actors posing particular challenges to presidential protection.
Mercati aperti
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 414,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 265,7K €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 altri esiti
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 126,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 126,9K €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 113,1K €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 112,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 78,2K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per will trump be assasinated in US??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve will trump be assasinated in US??
- will trump be assasinated in US? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato will trump be assasinated in US??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria