Will Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty at least as severe as life imprisonment with the possibility of parole before 2030?
One-OffCriminalità e giustiziaCripto4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:05 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 92.6%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto14 nov 22, 13:32 UTC31 dic 30, 18:30 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
Manifold MarketsSam Bankman-Fried gets pardoned or granted clemency by EOY 2032
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Manifold MarketsWill Sam Bankman-Fried convert to Islam in prison?
Manifold MarketsCriminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
Market resolves to "Yes" if Sam Bankman Fried receives at a criminal penalty at least as severe as a life sentence including with the possibility of parole, OR the maximum possible sentence in any jurisdiction that does not allow life sentences.
