Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80%
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38
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto15 nov 22, 01:45 UTC31 dic 32, 22:17 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Donald Trump gets pardoned or granted clemency by EOY 2032
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty at least as severe as life imprisonment with the possibility of parole before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSenate passes Clarity Act by which date?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if pardoned or granted clemency by a president, monarch, etc.
- Prosecutorial discretion doesn't count.
- Jury nullification doesn't count.
- Judicial sentencing discretion doesn't count.