30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?
FedOne-OffInflazioneObbligazioni e titoli di StatoPoliticaPolitica USA2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 98.9%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto30 mag 25, 19:20 UTC19 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the House of Representatives begin an impeachment of Donald Trump during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond reaches or exceeds 5.6% at any point during Donald Trump's second term as President of the United States.
- Trump's second term began on January 20, 2025, and is scheduled to end on January 20, 2029.
- The yield data will be verified using official sources such as the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates (tradingeconomics.com) or the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (fred.stlouisfed.org).
- If the yield does not reach 5.6% during this period, the market will resolve to "No."
- The 30-year Treasury yield reflects investor sentiment about long-term economic growth and inflation expectations.
