Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 03:24 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 52.6%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto8 nov 25, 15:32 UTC31 dic 31, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 100 GW of solar power on the Moon before there is 100 GW of solar power in orbit?
Manifold MarketsWill nuclear powers fight in orbit before EOY2050?
Manifold MarketsWhich comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRegole
Total solar power available, across all satellites from all operators.
- Nameplate capacity, not actual usage.
- Based on industry reports and my best efforts at research; suggestions for reliable sources are welcome, hopefully there will be a clean resolution source we can track well before resolution time.
- Presumably some classified satellites will be hard to get data on; best guesses will be used if they matter.