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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Space
  3. Which comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?
Manifold Markets

Which comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?

One-OffSpaceScienza24a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
Orbit 86%
Previsori

7

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 giorni fa

Obsoleto
17 dic 25, 22:5031 dic 50, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Orbit86%

Regole

Nameplate capacity, total across all users.

Manifold Markets
  • Best estimates -- if we can find a single source using consistent methods in advance, I may update to use that.
  • Moon is on the surface; orbit includes Lunar orbit.

Mercati Correlati

Manifold Markets

How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028?

324,5 €
>= 5: 78.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Does Planet Nine exist?

279,1 €
Sì: 25.7%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

How many orbital launches will there be in 2027?

185,4 €
At least 250: 78%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

0,6 €
Sì: 33%KalshiKALSHI
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

0,5 €
Sì: 18%KalshiKALSHI
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

5,8 €
United States: 61%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,504.22-2.34%EthereumETH$1,690.50-2.97%SolanaSOL$68.33-4.27%DogecoinDOGE$0.0823-2.91%XRPXRP$1.13-4.03%BNBBNB$571.81-2.97%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

Nameplate capacity, total across all users.

Manifold Markets
  • Best estimates -- if we can find a single source using consistent methods in advance, I may update to use that.
  • Moon is on the surface; orbit includes Lunar orbit.