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Dati al 20 set 2026, 00:25 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
MiniMax 1%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
7,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
89.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
18 set 26, 16:00 UTC25 set 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PolymarketWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Artificial Analysis - Video Arena
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
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- If MiniMax is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-8.5pt77%
- December 15,-22.5pt60%
- November 30,-27.0pt51%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 199,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt90%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt86%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT+1.5pt14.4%
- Gemini+1.9pt9.6%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10 Mln €
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 23.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 22.7%99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 153,1K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.5%+9.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 5.6%+45.0pt91%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 171K €
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 199,4K €
- Volume 24h
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Claude Opus released on?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Top Text to Video AI this week?
- Kalshi quota MiniMax al 1% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Top Text to Video AI this week?
- Top Text to Video AI this week dovrebbe risolversi il 25 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Top Text to Video AI this week?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.