KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 88%
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
72,7 €
Liquidità
72,7 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
12.0% / 16.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
7 set 26, 21:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Elon Musk spend a month in outer space?
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FutuurRegole
If the US agrees to or announces withdrawal from the Outer Space Treaty after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Announcements with specified future implementation dates qualify.
- Effective withdrawal need not occur before the deadline.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
Mercati aperti
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
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- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
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- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
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- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty??
- Kalshi quota No al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty??
- Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the US agrees to or announces withdrawal from the Outer Space Treaty after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.