KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
gemini-4-argon-high 94.2%+1.0ptIn testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
gemini-4-argon-high 94.2%+1.0ptQualità del mercato
51 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,2K €
Open interest
20,5K €
Open interest medioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
28 set 26, 16:00 UTC5 ott 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Top AI model this month
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
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KalshiRegole
If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Regole per ogni esito
- gemini-4-argon-high
- If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-4-6-high
- If claude-opus-4-6-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-fable-5.1-max
- If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5-max
- If claude-opus-5-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-5.5-high
- If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- claude-opus-4-6
- If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- gemini-3.8-flash-high
- If gemini-3.8-flash-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.