KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 1 5%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
4,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
14 lug 26, 00:00 UTC1 ott 26, 13:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the number of the 12 fiscal year 2027 regular appropriations bills that have become law is the named outcome before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:United States Congress
- Each of the 12 regular appropriations categories is counted separately.
- A standalone appropriations law counts as one, while an omnibus or minibus counts once for each regular appropriations bill enacted within it; for example, a package containing four regular appropriations divisions counts as four.
- Continuing resolutions, supplemental appropriations, and other funding measures do not count unless they enact one or more of the 12 regular appropriations bills.
- A regular appropriations bill counts regardless of its legislative vehicle, bill number, or whether it is enacted as a division of a broader law.
- For example, in FY2019 the applicable number is 5: two minibuses covering Energy-Water, Legislative Branch, Military Construction–VA, Defense, and Labor-HHS-Education were enacted before October 1.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+0.5pt73%
- September 18+1.0pt69%
- September 11+5.5pt66%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 558,1K €
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- United Russia (ER)+1.5pt75%
- New People (NL)-1.6pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt50%
- October 3128.8%
- September 30-1.0pt11.9%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 altri esiti
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026??
- Kalshi quota At least 1 al 5% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026??
- How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the number of the 12 fiscal year 2027 regular appropriations bills that have become law is the named outcome before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.