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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

IATecnologiaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
At least 50%
At least 50% 89%
In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

23,6 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

85.0% / 89.0%

Spread

4.7%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

20 mag 26, 14:0031 dic 26, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

At least 50%89%

Regole

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

8,8 €
At least 70%: 53%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

5,9K €
Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1,9K €
Sì: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

984,1 €
None in 2026: 70%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

479,3 €
Sì: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

441,2 €
Claude: 67%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,680.24+2.12%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.51%EthereumETH$1,650.31+1.26%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.55%BNBBNB$595.00+1.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.