KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 50% 99%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
57 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
505,8 €
Liquidità
16,5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
20 mag 26, 14:00 UTC31 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
KalshiHighest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketHighest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketWill Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Humanity's Last Exam
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume totale
- 241,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 128K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 349,4K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026??
- Kalshi quota At least 50% al 99% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026??
- Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.